Regression Strategy in Craps

What Is the Regression Strategy in Craps

The craps Regression System is a betting approach where you start with larger wagers and then reduce them after winning. The goal is simple: secure profit early and then play with reduced risk. Instead of pressing (increasing) bets, regression works in the opposite direction.

Difference Between Pressing and Regressing Bets

• Pressing bets means increasing your wagers after a win to maximize profit potential.
• Regressing bets means lowering your wagers after a win to protect profit and reduce exposure.

📌 For example:

• A player might place $30 on the 6 and 8. After one hit, instead of raising the bet to $60 (pressing), they drop it down to $12 (regressing).
• This locks in part of the win and makes the following rounds safer.

How the Regression Strategy Works

The craps Regression Strategy is designed to let players lock in quick profits and lower risk as the session continues. Instead of chasing long winning streaks, you scale down your bets after an early win. This way, you secure a portion of your bankroll while still staying in the action.

Starting With Higher Bets

At the beginning of the round, players usually place higher bets than they plan to keep for the entire session.

• Example: $30 each on numbers 6 and 8.
• The idea is to take advantage of the strong payout odds (7:6 for Place bets).
• If one of the numbers hits, you collect a solid first win.

📌 This opening move creates a “profit cushion” before regressing.

Reducing Bets After a Win (Regressing)

After the first win, you immediately reduce your wagers.

• A $30 bet on the 6 that pays $35 can be dropped down to $12.
• Now you have secured part of the payout and lowered your exposure.

💡 This shift ensures that even if the shooter rolls a 7-out, your overall bankroll is not heavily damaged.

Step-by-Step Example of a Craps Regression Strategy

To see The craps Regression Strategy in action, let’s walk through a simple step-by-step scenario. This example uses common Place bets on 6 and 8, which are player favorites thanks to their strong craps odds.

📊 Here’s a quick look at the progression:

Beginning With Place Bets on 6 and 8

• You start with $30 on the 6 and $30 on the 8.
• Total risk: $60.
• Both numbers pay 7:6, which means a $30 bet pays $35.
• These bets give you high-frequency action since 6 and 8 are rolled often.

Collecting Initial Wins

• The shooter rolls a 6.
• Your $30 bet wins $35.
• Now you have $95 total ($60 initial bets + $35 winnings).
• This is where regression comes into play.

Regressing to Lower Bets

• After the win, you drop your bets down to $12 each on 6 and 8.
• Total risk now: $24, instead of the original $60.
• You’ve locked in $71 ($95 bankroll – $24 still on the table).

Continuing the Session With Minimal Risk

• Every time 6 or 8 hits again, you win $14 on a $12 bet.
• Even if the shooter rolls a 7-out, you already kept $71 safe.
• Your game continues, but the risk is much lower.

💡 This step-by-step flow shows how the regression system ensures you protect profits early while still keeping action on the table.

Pros and Cons of the Regression Strategy

Like every betting method, the craps strategy has both strengths and weaknesses. Understanding these helps players decide if it fits their bankroll and style.

📊 The system is best for players who value longevity and safety over chasing huge payouts.

Pros

• ✅ Protects profits after early wins – you quickly secure part of your bankroll.
• ✅ Reduces exposure to losing streaks – smaller bets limit damage if the table goes cold.
• ✅ Keeps the game exciting while managing risk – you still stay active without overcommitting.

Cons

• ❌ Smaller long-term payouts – reducing bets means less potential profit on hot streaks.
• ❌ Requires discipline to regress bets on time – players may get greedy and skip regression.
• ❌ Not as exciting for aggressive players – compared to pressing systems, payouts feel modest.

Regression Strategy Variations

The craps Regression System isn’t one-size-fits-all. Players can adjust it to fit their goals, bankroll, and risk tolerance. Below are the three most common variations.

📊 Variation Comparison:

Full Regression After One Win

• Start with larger bets (e.g., $30 each on 6 and 8).
• After just one winning hit, drop all bets down to the lowest unit (e.g., $12 each).
• This guarantees you pocket early profit and play safely afterward.
• Best for conservative players or those with a short session plan.

Partial Regression for Balanced Play

• Instead of dropping straight to minimum bets, you reduce partially.
• Example: $30 on 6 and 8 → after a win, regress only to $18 each.
• This keeps bigger action on the table while still protecting part of your bankroll.
• Works well for players who want a balance of profit safety + decent payouts. ⚖️

Regression With Pressing After Multiple Wins

• A hybrid approach: regress after one or two wins, then press bets if the hot streak continues.
• Example: $30 → regress to $12 → if two more wins come, press to $24.
• This way, you get the safety of regression but still take advantage of hot shooters.
• Preferred by players who like both security and excitement.

Best Situations to Use Regression in Craps

The craps Regression Strategy shines in specific situations. Knowing when to apply it can make the difference between steady play and unnecessary risk 👇

Short Sessions With Limited Bankroll

• If your bankroll is small, regression helps you stay longer at the table.
• By locking in early wins, you avoid burning through chips too quickly.
• Perfect for players who want controlled entertainment without overspending.

Hot Tables vs Cold Tables

• On hot tables, regression lets you collect wins and still enjoy action with reduced bets.
• On cold tables, it minimizes losses by pulling back early.
• This makes it one of the most adaptive strategies in craps, regardless of table streak.

Combining Regression With Other Strategies

• Some players mix regression with systems like Iron Cross or 3 Point Molly.
• Regression adds a safety net to more aggressive methods.
• Example: Start with Iron Cross, regress after a few wins, then continue only with smaller bets.
• Great for players who enjoy experimenting with layered strategies. 

Tips for Playing Regression Strategy Successfully

Even the best betting system works only with the right mindset. To get the most out of The craps Regression Strategy, follow these key tips.

📌 Quick reminder table:

Decide in Advance When to Regress

• Before the session starts, set a craps rules: regress after one win, or after two hits at most.
• Sticking to a plan prevents emotional decisions in the heat of the game.
• Discipline is what makes regression effective. 

Avoid Chasing Wins After Regression

• Once you reduce your bets, don’t get tempted to raise them again immediately.
• Chasing wins can cancel out the safety benefits of regression.
• Remember: the purpose is protecting profits, not risking them again. 

Stick to Numbers With Lower House Edge

• Place bets on 6 and 8 are the most efficient for regression.
• They hit often and have a relatively low house edge compared to other numbers.
• Avoid less frequent numbers like 4 or 10 unless you’re mixing strategies. 

Regression Strategy vs Other Craps Systems

Every craps player eventually experiments with different betting systems. The craps Regression Strategy is often compared with other well-known approaches. Here’s how they stack up. 

📊 Comparison Table:

Regression vs 3 Point Molly

• 3 Point Molly focuses on Pass Line + odds bets, adding two Come bets for constant action.
• It’s steady but requires a larger bankroll to support multiple bets at once.
• Regression, on the other hand, is cheaper to maintain. You start big but quickly scale down.

👉 Use regression if you want a short-term safety system. Choose 3 Point Molly for long-term grinding.

Regression vs Iron Cross

• Iron Cross covers almost every number except 7, giving frequent wins but lower net payouts.
• Regression doesn’t cover as many numbers but locks in profit after early hits.
• Regression is less exciting in terms of constant payouts but better for protecting bankroll.

👉 Iron Cross = action every roll 🎲. Regression = smaller, safer game 💵.

Regression vs Pressing Systems

• Pressing systems increase bets after wins, aiming for big profits on hot shooters.
• They carry higher risk since a sudden 7-out wipes out all pressed bets.
  Regression does the opposite: it lowers risk after a win and avoids heavy exposure.

👉 Pressing = aggressive profit chase 🔥. Regression = disciplined bankroll control 🛡️.